2021 Columbia River Basin Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast Technical Report

Technical supplement detailing modeled climate, hydrology, agriculture, and energy impacts on Columbia River Basin water supply and demand.

Technical report cover.

This Technical Supplement supports Washington’s 2021 Columbia River Basin Long-Term Water Supply and Demand Forecast by documenting the methods, models, and analyses used to project future water conditions through 2040 and beyond. Led by the Office of Columbia River at the Washington State Department of Ecology, the work integrates hydrologic, crop production, reservoir operations, and economic modeling to evaluate climate-driven changes in surface and groundwater supplies alongside agricultural, residential, ecological, and hydropower demands.

The report expands on six focused modules, including residential demand forecasting, double cropping impacts, water rights curtailment, low-flow estimation, hydropower demand, and groundwater trends. Results are presented across multiple geographic scales, from the full Columbia River Basin to Washington’s watersheds and aquifers. The supplement also documents outreach efforts and responses to public comments. Together, these analyses provide planners, policymakers, and water managers with detailed technical foundations to support long-term water resource decisions in a changing climate.

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Authors

Adam, J., Yourek, M., Scarpare, F., Liu, M., McLarty, S., Asante-Sasu, C., McClure, S., Turk, J., Haller, D., Padowski, J., Deshar, R., Brady, M., Rajagopalan, K., Barber, M., Weber, R., Hall, S. A., Yorgey, G., Whittemore, A., Goodspeed, H., Gustine, R., Kondal, A., Yoder, J., Kruger, C., Deaver, B., Downes, M., Tarbutton, S., Callahan, M., Price, P., Roberts, T., Stephens, J., Valdez, W., and Stockle, C.

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Suggested Citation

Adam, J., Yourek, M., Scarpare, F., Liu, M., McLarty, S., Asante-Sasu, C., McClure, S., Turk, J., Haller, D., Padowski, J., Deshar, R., Brady, M., Rajagopalan, K., Barber, M., Weber, R., Hall, S., Yorgey, G., Whittemore, A., Goodspeed, H., Stockle, C., Gustine, R., Kondal, A., Yoder, J., Kruger, C., Deaver, B., Downes, M., Tarbutton, S., Callahan, M., Price, P., Roberts, T., Stephens, J., & Valdez, W. (2022). Technical supplement to the 2021 Columbia River Basin long-term water supply and demand forecast (Publication No. 22-12-001). Washington State Department of Ecology.

Year Published

2022

Areas of Focus

Agricultural Practices, Climate & Environment, and Water Resources & Policy

Topics

Climate Change, Crops, Energy, Natural Resources, Production Systems, and Soils & Fertility

Collaborators

Funding Source